Monday, January 7, 2013

The Professor's 2013 NFL Mock 2.0

* Until all Coaching and Front Office positions are filled. I will not be projecting trades.

  1. Kansas City– Mike Glennon, QB, N.C. State – Romeo and Scott Pioli are gone. Andy won’t try to resurrect Cassel or Quinn. Obviously, he must find a new signal caller. The market for trading the pick will be slim. After many trials and tribulations, the Chiefs will select Glennon 1st overall. This may be worth noting, sitting behind Glennon at State was Russell Wilson who transferred to Wisconsin to be their starter.

  1. Jacksonville – Jarvis Jones, DE/OLB, Georgia – Scouts see a Von Miller clone. Jones could be a difference maker at the next level. The Jags may bring in a Head Coach from the college ranks and let Tim Tebow run the read/option. The RG3 effect is cascading across the league.

  1. Oakland – Star Lotuelei, NT, Utah – The Raiders are a mess. No single move will turn this thing around. For years Al Davis built from the outside in. Popular wisdom suggests the opposite is needed. No better way to begin than to draft this anchor. Terrelle Pryor will replace Palmer as the starting QB.

  1. Philadelphia – Luke Joeckel, OT, Texas A&M – Foles is a keeper, and McCoy will be the focus of any new offensive system. The personnel on the Eagles are much better than their record. I expect, a mean streak, a disciplinarian, to be named as head coach.

  1. Detroit – Damontre Moore, DE/OLB, Texas A&M – The Lions are a pass rush away from the playoffs.

  1. Cleveland – Geno Smith, QB, West Virginia – I still can’t believe how Holmgren flinched on moving up for RG3! The fate of the franchise, for a decade, defined by a blink? Well, maybe not? The Browns will bring in Chip Kelly, who will need a QB capable of running the read/option. I believe the pick will be Smith. After working out, both, Smith and Tyler Wilson, they may choose to go with the more polished Wilson?

  1. Arizona – Tyler Wilson, QB, Arkansas – Will the Cards add Mike Vick to their roster? Is resurrecting Kevin Kolb an option? I doubt they attempt to do either. Oddly, drafting Wilson or Smith is the lowest risk and offers the biggest splash of the available options. That’s called the sweet spot.

  1. Buffalo – Taylor Lewan, OT, Michigan – This year’s Luke Kuechly. Buffalo is closer than most think. Teo is a high motor, high character upgrade to a pedestrian LB core. Marrone will add a QB and a WR early in the draft. Could this be where Ryan Nassib lands?

  1. N.Y. Jets – Manti Te’o – The Jets require an almost complete rebuild on the offensive side of the ball. The trenches must be addressed, but they won’t pass on Te’o. Expect an OT in the 2nd round.

  1. Tennessee- DeMarcus Milliner, CB, Alabama – Top CB in the draft added to a challenged secondary.

  1. San Diego - Johnathan Hankins, NT, Ohio State – Include Hankins in the young new breed of mass and power that run the 40 in around 5 and change. The Bolts must upgrade a pedestrian defensive front.

  1. Miami – Johnathan Banks, CB, Mississippi State – The Dolphins traded Davis to the Colts. With Banks, they add a quality corner and continue to build a culture of responsibility. If they don’t resign Long, perhaps this pick is Eric Fisher.

  1. Tampa Bay – Bjoern Werner, DE/OLB, Florida State – Milliner and Banks are off the board, so the Bucs decide to blitzkrieg. Bowers appears to have settled into average at best. An improved rush will help hide weaknesses on the back end (Giants 2011). The Bucs will pick a 2nd round CB in the 2nd round.

  1. Carolina – Eric Fisher, OT, Central Michigan – Panthers must build a solid nucleus. The continued development of Cam is the single most important piece of the puzzle. Get that wrong, and nothing else matters! Ron and Cam will lobby for WR in the 2nd round.
  1. New Orleans – Sheldon Richardson, DT, Missouri – The 1st round freaks won’t last to the 2nd round. The Saints begin rebuilding a defense by grabbing this beast.

  1. St. Louis – Chance Warmack, G, Alabama – Sam Bradford’s development is the priority. Warmack is a special talent. The Rams can add a WR with the 22nd pick.

  1. Pittsburgh - Dion Jordan, DE/OLB, Oregon – Jordan is one of the premier edge rushers in this draft. This is a good place to add some teeth to a defense long in the tooth.

  1. Dallas– Jonathan Jenkins, DT, Georgia– I expect Jerry to look to stiffen a soft defensive front. Jenkins fits need and value.

  1. N.Y. Giants – Barkevious Mingo, DE/OLB, LSU – The 1st round CBs are off the board. With Osi moving on and Tuck wearing down, the Giants will start Kiwanuka at LDE, and permanently plant JPP at RDE. They will restructure Tuck to a low cost/ low term deal. The Giants will hope Tuck can stay healthy while adding his leadership into the mix. The Giants will expect Mingo to start at OLB. Someone has to chase RG3 around!

  1. Chicago – Alec Ogletree, ILB, Georgia – The middle of the Bear D needs replacing. Urlacher may follow Ray Lewis into the sunset. The Bears D has always featured a dynamic MLB. Urlacher may leave a hole to big to fill?

  1. Minnesota – Keenan Allen, WR, California – The Vikes cannot continue to exclusively rely on Peterson. Ponder must punish defenses for loading up the box.

  1. Cincinnati – C.J. Mosley, ILB, Alabama – Never replaced Joseph, but the top CB’s are off the broad. Mosley will go along way to shoring up the Bengal middle.

  1. St. Louis (from Washington) – Cordarrelle Patterson, WR, Tennessee – The Rams select a freaky receiver with unbelievable upside.

  1. Baltimore – Ezekiel Ansah, DE, BYU – Any potential replacement for Ray Lewis is not in this draft, or off the board. I expect the Ravens to look to free agency to replace this HOF player.

  1. Indianapolis – Sam Montgomery, DE, LSU - Mathis and Freeney are a 147 combined! Great value for the Colts in this slot.

  1. Seattle – Terrance Williams, WR, Baylor – Pete will layer second year options for his outstanding rookie QB. The Seahawks will go as far as Wilson goes.

  1. Houston – Tyler Eifer, TE, Notre Dame – The Texans won’t score enough points to advance to the big dance. They have a Super Bowl defense. They must help Schaub. It’s a copycat league. Eifer and Daniels will provide the Texans options in two TE alignments, similar to what the Pats are running.

  1. Green Bay – Barrett Jones, C, Alabama – Need to strengthen the C position. Jeff Saturday is done and Jones offers value at the 28th slot.

  1. New England – Keenan Allen, WR, California – Josh gets a new toy for his fast-break offense.

  1. Atlanta – Jesse Williams, NT, Alabama – The middle of the Falcon defensive front could use an upgrade. They will find a bull to compete with Turner in the later rounds.
  2. San Francisco – Tavon Austin, WR, West Virginia – Randy Moss is toast. Manningham is underwhelming. Jenkins is a project. Crabtree will continue to be smothered in coverage, until the 49’ers have a dynamic 2nd option. The reason for moving Smith to the bench was this need for another option. Kaepernick’s mobility offers high reward in the short term and high risk in the long term.

  1. Denver – Jonathan Cooper, G/C, North Carolina – Peyton Manning is everything to the Broncos! The whole thing is built on keeping him upright. He must be protected at any cost.

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